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TJ Dillashaw Breakdown:
Together with the weigh-ins complete, TJ looks sharp and has shown himself well ready for the 125lb branch. On the feet he should have a significant advantage over Cejudo. The duration of TJ, together with his unorthodox fashion, will let him land severe volume contrary to the more limited wrestler. Furthermore leg kicks will be a mortal option against the front heavy karate stance. Cejudo will probably be needing takedowns and significant top control if he is to win any rounds. Unfortunately for him, TJ has outstanding wrestling himself as well as an arguably more dangerous grappling arsenal. His evasiveness should restrict Cejudo’s opportunities to take and on the floor he will be difficult to control for extended periods. Overall the path to success looks slender for Cejudo whilst TJ is an established finisher who conveys good aerobic and much superior volume to acquire over 5 rounds. The wager will be TJ Dillashaw to function as dual champ!Rachael Ostovich Breakdown:
Both of these fighters have some flaws to their match but stylistically that is a winnable fight for the underdog. On the feet Vanzant is unorthodox but probably faster with more quantity. Ostovich has a simpler style but neither fighter is very likely to land substantial harm here. The size and strength for Ostovich will probably be a major advantage on the earth where both girls have a tendency to attract the battle. Vanzant is stubborn but requires risky choices and leaves a great deal of openings for opponents. Ostovich can capitalise here and her superior control means she will spend a great deal more time on shirt or in dominant positions. Anticipate a back and forth struggle where we get excellent value on the underdog odds.
Bet = Ostovich at 2.35 (+135) chances. Risk 3 Units to acquire 4.05 Units.
Ariane Lipski Breakdown:
Lipski the”Violence Queen” is creating her debut after an impressive run since the KSW champion. Matching up with Calderwood she’s the benefit in most areas. The power and aggression of Lipski’s combos in the pocket will probably be overpowering for Calderwood who lacks pace and head motion. This battle is most likely to play out on the toes but even on the mat it is Lipski with the far better skills. Calderwood is coming from a”blessed” submission win in a fight where she was having a great deal of trouble. Over her career she’s been know to battle with adversity during conflicts and look for a way out. Lipski though looks to be very durable and struggles with heart. At 24 years old she also will be showing substantial improvements between conflicts.
Bet = Lipski in 1.53 (-188) chances. Risk 5 Components to acquire 2.65 Units.
Alexander Hernandez Breakdown:
Cerrone is coming back down to 155lbs to get an unlikely matchup against a rising prospect. Hernandez brings a style which is proven against Cowboy with his fast start and constant pressure. If this fight goes the distance it’ll be Hernandez pushing the pace, holding Cerrone from the fence and procuring takedowns to impress the judges. Cowboys best way to success is snatching a entry off his back but that’s a little chance against a powerful wrestler. The power, athleticism, childhood and fashion of Hernandez will be a lot for the veteran to manage with just 3 rounds to work with. Cerrone is generally a slow starter and the drop back to 155lb is not likely to assist his durability issues.
Bet = Hernandez at 1.54 (-185) chances. Risk 4 Units to acquire 2.16 Units.
Dustin Ortiz Breakdown:
This is a rematch fight from the very first back in 2014, which Benavidez won through decision. Today it’s Ortiz who has proven the newest improvements in his game, currently riding an impressive win streak. Benavidez is still a top contender but does look like he’s slightly declining in his recent appearances. For example an underdog Ortiz includes a few avenues to success. He’ll be at a disadvantage on the toes concerning quantity, but packs substantial power. Benavidez has been wobbled always in recent conflicts suggesting his durability is fading. Additionally the 34 year old will slow down later in the struggle since Ortiz brings a relentless grinding speed. This should be a close fight that looks to be lined too broad.
Bet = Ortiz in 3.05 (+205) odds. Risk 2 Units to win 4.1 Units.
Karl Roberson Breakdown:
Roberson is moving up as a late replacement to take on the difficult veteran Glover. On the feet the disparity is wide. Roberson is lightning fast and has powerful counters. Glover has slowed considerably into his later years and together with his durability fading his lack of head motion is apparent. Cory Anderson (Roberson’s training partner) isn’t famous for his striking yet found huge victory himself on the feet in his last fight against Glover. The obvious dilemma for Roberson is that his grappling defence, but working with Anderson he must be improving here as a young prospect. Glover may get some takedowns but if he doesn’t get an early entry it will be challenging to keep up with the younger, quicker and more athletic Roberson. Furthermore if he can not get it into the mat his options seem bleak. As an underdog, Roberson seems a good bet.
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